Trade Prediction Markets

A prediction market is a platform where you trade on the outcomes of future events, such as politics, sports, crypto or culture. Most markets offer a yes-or-no choice. If the event goes your way, your contract pays out a fixed amount; if not, you lose what you put in. The price of a contract reflects how likely the market thinks the event is.

Read more: essential prediction market concepts for every trader.

MetaMask Prediction Markets is powered by Polymarket and available on the MetaMask mobile app in eligible regions. You buy Yes or No shares at the current market price, and you can sell them at any time before the market closes. When the event ends, the market settles automatically and winnings are paid to your account.

Prices are set by supply and demand on Polymarket’s live order book and move as people trade. Each market settles according to the rules listed on its page. Winning shares pay $1 each, and losing shares pay nothing.

Read more: how prediction market pricing works, from shares to resolution.

MetaMask Prediction Markets, powered by Polymarket, is available globally except in the following regions: Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Burundi, Canada, Ethiopia, France, Germany, Iraq, Italy, Japan, Myanmar, Poland, Romania, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, the UK and the US, as well as countries on the US sanctions list.

MetaMask Prediction Markets is powered by Polymarket. Learn more about how Polymarket works, or see how it compares in Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Kalshi and Robinhood are US-regulated platforms that require fiat and KYC. MetaMask offers prediction market trading on mobile, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions with no KYC. Prediction market trading is subject to local rules and regulations.

You can trade on politics, sports, crypto, weather, pop culture, financial markets and more. Read more: popular prediction market categories.

Yes. Prediction market risks include potential manipulation, biased trading, liquidity constraints and regulatory uncertainty. Understand these risks and trade responsibly: you can lose your entire investment. Prediction markets aren’t available in all jurisdictions.

Trading predictions powered by Polymarket on the MetaMask mobile app costs a 4% transaction fee, shared by MetaMask and Polymarket. There are no fees for depositing, cashing out or withdrawing.

See 5-cent spreads in prediction markets for more on how entry and exit costs work.

You can trade sports prediction markets on the MetaMask mobile app, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions.

See prediction markets vs sports betting, and how the World Cup 2026 prediction markets played out from the knockouts to the final.

You can trade Premier League prediction markets on the MetaMask mobile app, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions. See Premier League prediction markets explained.

You can trade Champions League prediction markets on the MetaMask mobile app, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions. See Champions League prediction markets explained.

You can trade NBA prediction markets on the MetaMask mobile app, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions. See NBA prediction markets explained.

You can trade NFL prediction markets on the MetaMask mobile app, powered by Polymarket, in eligible regions. See NFL prediction markets explained.

Our guide to essential prediction market concepts explains key terms such as odds, liquidity, arbitrage, order books, and take-profit and stop-loss orders. Ready to go further? Explore advanced prediction market trading strategies.